In a press conference today, New York City mayor Bill De Blasio said:
We now have fewer people in our jails than any time since WW2, and we are safer for it and better for it.
Bill De Blasio
Fact checked; The city is not safer, it’s actually the opposite:
New York City shootings are up 130% compared to this time last year. When averaging all metrics, crime is up roughly 200% compared to this time last year.
50 of the 1500 inmates released early already got caught committing crime again. The epidemic is amid New York City’s recent police de-funding measures, as a part of the war on police and Black Lives Matter movement.
“Let’s think about it, do we think this has to do with the fact that there’s record unemployment in the united states right now? The fact that people are at a level of economic desperation that we have not seen since the great recession? Maybe this has to do with the fact that people aren’t paying their rent and they’re scared to pay their rent, so they go out and they need to feed their child, and they don’t have money, so you, maybe have to, their put in a position where they feel like they either need to shoplift some bread or go hungry that night.”
AOC is implying the economic recession is the reason why NYC is experiencing an uptick in crime. She refers to the unemployment rate. Let’s dig into it;
She’s not wrong about the numbers, as 20 million jobs were lost in April due to the coronavirus lockdown. New York state department of labor reports the city’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 18.3 percent in May 2020, an increase of 3.3 percent from April and a rise of 14.2 percent from May 2019.
It’s important to remember the Trump administration issued an extra $600 weekly in unemployment, bringing the average weekly check to $978 per week nationwide. Furthermore, most adults got a stimulas check of $1,200 + $500 for each child under 16. Also the federal government, state lawmakers and private companies have rolled out forbearance and deferment programs to combat the financial woes caused by layoffs, furloughs and other financial setbacks. The following payments can be deferred Per US News
Student loan payments.
Credit card bills.
Our countries economy is suffering, no doubt. But with the added free money and forgiveness resources we’ve been given to survive this pandemic, this suggests that individually we are not suffering as bad as it may seem.
AOC is ignoring the type of crime being commuted
Yes, burglary is up. Quite a bit actually, at 118.2% higher then last year. Whew, that’s a lot but so is the 130.3% increase on shootings. There were 205 citywide shooting incidents in June 2020, compared to 89 shooting incidents in June 2019, a 130.3% increase. Year-to-date, through June 30, there is a +46% spike in citywide shooting incidents (528 v. 362). Also, murder is up +23.1% (181 v. 147) for the first six months of 2020 when compared to the first six months of 2019. Per NYPD
Robbing a store for a loaf of bread is a little different then shooting and killing someone, don’t you think? You could argue that people are shooting the store workers, but that’s simply not the case. As of matter of fact just this weekend was partically very bloody with 15 shootings in 15 hours and none of them was a store clerk.
There’s been several high profile incidents of shootings in NYC recently and none of them have been store clerks or anything related to shooting because they’re “desperately hungry”. Here’s just one example;
So what is it then? Why is crime increasing drastically in not just NYC, but other major cities too?
We can’t give a definite answer on that. It’s important to note that every single city pushing to de-fund police has seen crime spike. It would make sense to use de-funding police as the culprit, but that’s a flawed claim as well because most cities de-funding efforts are just getting started amid the rise in crime, not prior to the rise in crime.
It’s fair to state the Black Lives Matter movement may be contributing, as it’s highly documented the riots and looting costed hundreds of millions of dollars. Criminals could be sensing the weakness from NYPD amid de-funding efforts, and high scrutiny police are constantly under, therefore committing more crimes because they feel a higher likelihood of getting away with it? Just a theory.
Either way, there is no evidence the economic recession is the reason for the increase incrime.